Journal article
A practical guide to mathematical methods for estimating infectious disease outbreak risks
- Abstract:
-
Mathematical models are increasingly used throughout infectious disease outbreaks to guide control measures. In this review article, we focus on the initial stages of an outbreak, when a pathogen has just been observed in a new location (e.g., a town, region or country). We provide a beginner’s guide to two methods for estimating the risk that introduced cases lead to sustained local transmission (i.e., the probability of a major outbreak), as opposed to the outbreak fading out with only a sm...
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- Publication status:
- In press
- Peer review status:
- Peer reviewed
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Authors
Bibliographic Details
- Publisher:
- Elsevier Publisher's website
- Journal:
- Journal of Theoretical Biology Journal website
- Publication date:
- 2023-01-20
- Acceptance date:
- 2023-01-16
- DOI:
- ISSN:
-
0022-5193
Item Description
- Language:
- English
- Keywords:
- Pubs id:
-
1324620
- Local pid:
- pubs:1324620
- Deposit date:
- 2023-01-20
Terms of use
- Copyright holder:
- Southall et al.
- Copyright date:
- 2023
- Rights statement:
- © 2023 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons CC-BY license, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
- Licence:
- CC Attribution (CC BY)
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