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Projections of northern hemisphere extratropical climate underestimate internal variability and associated uncertainty

Abstract:

Internal climate variability will play a major role in determining change on regional scales under global warming. In the extratropics, large-scale atmospheric circulation is responsible for much of observed regional climate variability, from seasonal to multidecadal timescales. However, the extratropical circulation variability on multidecadal timescales is systematically weaker in coupled climate models. Here we show that projections of future extratropical climate from coupled model simula...

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Publication status:
Published
Peer review status:
Peer reviewed

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Publisher copy:
10.1038/s43247-021-00268-7

Authors


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Role:
Author
ORCID:
0000-0002-8630-1650
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Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
MPLS
Department:
Physics
Sub department:
Atmos Ocean & Planet Physics
Oxford college:
University College
Role:
Author
ORCID:
0000-0002-7231-6974
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Role:
Author
ORCID:
0000-0003-3704-1976
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Publisher:
Springer Nature Publisher's website
Journal:
Communications Earth and Environment Journal website
Volume:
2
Article number:
194
Publication date:
2021-09-20
Acceptance date:
2021-08-30
DOI:
EISSN:
2662-4435
Language:
English
Keywords:
Pubs id:
1194211
Local pid:
pubs:1194211
Deposit date:
2021-09-20

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