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Journal article : Comment

Commentary on “Transparent modelling of influenza incidence”: Is the answer simplicity or adaptability?

Abstract:
It is a pleasure to comment on the paper by Katsikopoulos et al. (2021), where they present a provocative and stimulating viewpoint in which they argue that simple forecasting rules based on heuristics frequently outperform big data models and should be used as a benchmark when testing big data models. I argue that it is important not to conflate simplicity with adaptability, and that there is a role for big data models in forecasting.
Publication status:
In press
Peer review status:
Reviewed (other)

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Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
College Only
Oxford college:
Magdalen College
Role:
Author
Publisher:
Elsevier Publisher's website
Journal:
International Journal of Forecasting Journal website
Publication date:
2021-03-03
Acceptance date:
2021-02-03
DOI:
ISSN:
0169-2070
Language:
English
Keywords:
Subtype:
Comment
Pubs id:
1160329
Local pid:
pubs:1160329
Deposit date:
2021-02-09

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