Journal article
Decomposition of the Brier score for weighted forecast-verification pairs
- Abstract:
-
The Brier score is widely used in meteorology for quantifying probability forecast quality. The score can be decomposed into terms representing different aspects of forecast quality, but this implicitly requires each forecast-verification pair to be allocated equal weight. In this note an expression is derived for the decomposed Brier score that accounts for weighted forecast-verification pairs. A comparison of the unweighted and weighted cases using seasonal forecasts from the ENSEMBLES proj...
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- Publication status:
- Published
- Peer review status:
- Peer reviewed
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Funding
+ Natural Environment Research Council
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Funding agency for:
Young, R
Grant:
NER/S/A/2005/13667
Bibliographic Details
- Publisher:
- John Wiley & Sons Ltd. Publisher's website
- Journal:
- Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society Journal website
- Volume:
- 136
- Issue:
- 650
- Pages:
- 1364-1370
- Publication date:
- 2010-07-01
- DOI:
- EISSN:
-
1477-870X
- ISSN:
-
0035-9009
Item Description
- Language:
- English
- Keywords:
- Subjects:
- UUID:
-
uuid:84a5ec74-6c46-4d3d-b329-4d7ccca76709
- Local pid:
- ora:4064
- Deposit date:
- 2010-08-16
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Terms of use
- Copyright holder:
- Royal Meteorological Society
- Copyright date:
- 2010
- Notes:
- The full-text of this article is not currently available in ORA, but you may be able to access the article via the publisher copy link on this record page. Young, R.M.B. (2010), "Decomposition of the Brier score for weighted forecast-verification pairs", Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 136, 1364-1370, doi:10.1002/qj.641. Copyright © Royal Meteorological Society, first published by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. [Available online at http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/qj.641/abstract].
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