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The ‘2°C capital stock’ for electricity generation: Committed cumulative carbon emissions from the electricity generation sector and the transition to a green economy

Abstract:

This paper defines the ‘2°C capital stock’ as the global stock of infrastructure which, if operated to the end of its normal economic life, implies global mean temperature increases of 2°C or more (with 50% probability). Using IPCC carbon budgets and the IPCC’s AR5 scenario database, and assuming future emissions from other sectors are compatible with a 2°C pathway, we calculate that the 2°C capital stock for electricity will be reached by 2017 based on current trends. In other words, even un...

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Publication status:
Published
Peer review status:
Peer reviewed

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Publisher copy:
10.1016/j.apenergy.2016.02.093

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Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
SSD
Department:
SOGE
Sub department:
Geography
Role:
Author
More by this author
Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
Social Sciences Division
Department:
Blavatnik School of Government
Role:
Author
Publisher:
Elsevier Publisher's website
Journal:
Applied Energy Journal website
Volume:
179
Pages:
1395-1408
Publication date:
2016-03-24
Acceptance date:
2016-02-18
DOI:
ISSN:
0306-2619
Keywords:
Pubs id:
pubs:630266
UUID:
uuid:c4a2cb93-fcd6-4f12-a6f2-254b0009432b
Local pid:
pubs:630266
Deposit date:
2016-11-01

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