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Journal article : Letter

Interpreting extreme climate impacts from large ensemble simulations – are they unseen or unrealistic?

Abstract:

Large-ensemble climate model simulations can provide deeper understanding of the characteristics and causes of extreme events than historical observations, due to their larger sample size. However, adequate evaluation of simulated 'unseen' events that are more extreme than those seen in historical records is complicated by observational uncertainties and natural variability. Consequently, conventional evaluation and correction methods cannot determine whether simulations outside observed vari...

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Publication status:
Published
Peer review status:
Peer reviewed

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Publisher copy:
10.1088/1748-9326/ac5cf4

Authors


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Institution:
University of Oxford
Division:
SSD
Department:
SOGE
Sub department:
Geography
Oxford college:
Hertford College
Role:
Author
ORCID:
0000-0001-9416-488X
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Publisher:
IOP Publishing Publisher's website
Journal:
Environmental Research Letters Journal website
Volume:
17
Issue:
4
Article number:
044052
Publication date:
2022-03-29
Acceptance date:
2022-03-11
DOI:
EISSN:
1748-9326
Language:
English
Keywords:
Subtype:
Letter
Pubs id:
1242776
Local pid:
pubs:1242776
Deposit date:
2022-03-08

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